{"id":146706,"date":"2023-10-23T09:03:46","date_gmt":"2023-10-23T09:03:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amplify.nabshow.com\/?post_type=articles&#038;p=146706"},"modified":"2024-09-08T00:25:12","modified_gmt":"2024-09-08T00:25:12","slug":"ic-ai-and-the-15th-century-printing-press","status":"publish","type":"articles","link":"https:\/\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/articles\/ic-ai-and-the-15th-century-printing-press\/","title":{"rendered":"What Do AI and the 15th-Century Printing Press Have in Common? Actually, A Lot"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns article-content is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\" data-attachment-id=\"60747\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/vaneyck\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/VanEyck.jpg?fit=1200%2C630&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,630\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;2&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;DSC-RX1RM2&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1479629831&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;35&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;6400&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0.00625&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"VanEyck\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Jan Van Eyck, mirror detail, \u201cThe Arnolfini Portrait&amp;#8221; &lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Jan Van Eyck, mirror detail, \u201cThe Arnolfini Portrait&amp;#8221; &lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/VanEyck.jpg?fit=1024%2C538&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/VanEyck.jpg?resize=1200%2C630&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"&quot;Jan Van Eyck, Mirror detail, The Arnolfini Portrait&quot; by profzucker is licensed with CC BY-NC-SA 2.0. To view a copy of this license, visit https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-sa\/2.0\/\" class=\"wp-image-60747\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Jan Van Eyck, mirror detail, \u201cThe Arnolfini Portrait&#8221; <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-background\"\/>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-background\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TL;DR<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em>Samuel Hammond, senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation, argues that the disruptive force of artificial intelligence could be as transformative as the invention of the printing press in the 15th century.<\/em><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>Like the printing press, AI isn\u2019t just about making information accessible, Hammond contends; it\u2019s about challenging the established order.<\/em><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em><a href=\"https:\/\/amplify.nabshow.com\/ai-ml-explainers-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI promises endless efficiencies<\/a>, but also can also create disruption to our institutions and perhaps even our current world order.<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-background\"\/>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-background\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Sam Hammond on AI, e\/acc, and Institutional Disruption\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/pqjJjezZz1s?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In an era where technology is advancing at breakneck speed, it\u2019s easy to overlook the historical parallels that can offer us valuable insights. Samuel Hammond, senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation, and a prominent voice in the field, argues that the disruptive force of artificial intelligence could be as transformative as the printing press was in the 15th century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hammond\u2019s perspective on the potential near-term impact of AI on government and institutions is rooted in history and the transformative power of technology. He draws a striking parallel between the rise of AI and the historical significance of the printing press, suggesting that AI\u2019s impact could be just as destabilizing and consequential in his three-part series on Substack, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.secondbest.ca\/p\/ai-and-leviathan-part-i\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI and Leviathan<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMy null hypothesis is that the democratization of powerful AI capabilities will be at least as destabilizing as the printing press,\u201d he writes. \u201cThe printing press was also a mere information technology, and yet it led to civil wars and uprisings against the established order, and ultimately drove the consolidation of the modern nation-state.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hammond delves further into the potential near-term impact of AI on our government and institutions in conversation with <em>Upstream<\/em>\u2019s Erik Torenberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhen you look across history at when there is broad flourishing of society, say, like, the Florentine Renaissance, it isn\u2019t just that they had like the best masonry and the best banking, and so forth. It\u2019s like they had the best <em>everything<\/em>,\u201d he explains to Torenberg in the video at the top of the page. Looking at today\u2019s world, countries that rank the highest in economic freedom and on the human development index \u201calso have the best functioning governments and the least corrupted markets.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This phenomenon, which Hammond calls the \u201cX-factor behind institutions,\u201d doesn\u2019t boil down to \u201cgeography or demographics or major structural forces, \u201cbut there\u2019s also these extra efficiencies that that matter for society as a whole.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AI promises endless efficiencies but also risks disrupting our institutions and current world order. To move forward, we have to learn how to grapple with the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Brief History: The Printing Press and Its Revolutionary Impact<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the 15th century, Johannes Gutenberg\u2019s printing press didn\u2019t just democratize knowledge; it ignited civil wars, uprisings, and the formation of modern nation-states. Hammond contends that AI could have a similarly transformative impact, challenging existing power structures and fostering more inclusive governance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.secondbest.ca\/p\/ai-and-leviathan-part-ii\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI and Leviathan: Part II<\/a>,\u201d Hammond points out that the English Civil War, a defining moment in the formation of modern governance, occurred at an inflection point in the printing revolution. The first publication of the King James Bible in 1611, just 30 years before the war, and the birth of journalism with the first regularly published English newspaper, the Oxford Gazette, were pivotal. These publications fueled public discourse and, in some cases, dissent, setting the stage for political upheaval.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThese technological regime changes precede institutional regime changes,\u201d Hammond says, noting how the printing press played a role in the consolidation of fragmented kingdoms into modern nation-states, leading to the Peace of Westphalia in 1648.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe printing press was also a mere information technology, and yet it led to civil wars and uprisings against the established order,\u201d Hammond writes. AI, like the printing press, isn\u2019t just about making information accessible; it\u2019s about challenging the established order.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Samuel Hartlib, an English reformer and contemporary of the printing revolution, aimed to record all human knowledge and make it universally available. Hammond sees a parallel between Hartlib and today\u2019s AI evangelists who advocate for the democratization of AI capabilities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ethical and Regulatory Hurdles: Navigating the AI Minefield<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As we stand on the cusp of an AI revolution, the ethical and regulatory challenges are manifold. \u201cThe issue is not that AI and informational technology are inherently destabilizing. Rather, the issue is that society\u2019s technological base is shifting faster than its institutional superstructure can keep up,\u201d Hammond writes In \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.secondbest.ca\/p\/ai-and-leviathan-part-ii\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI and Leviathan: Part II<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When it comes to regulation, Hammond poses a thought-provoking question: \u201cHow would you regulate AI?\u201d he asks Torenberg. \u201cI think the right level would be to say, you know, after transformative AI, what does the regulation even look like?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Elaborating further on Substack, he suggests that our current regulatory frameworks might become obsolete in the face of transformative AI. \u201cWhether or not this leads to a bureaucratic expansion is another question,\u201d he says. \u201cOn the one hand, AI could enable regulators to devise rules with fractal specificity, micromanaging things that used to be illegible. On the other hand, the human and physical footprint of our bureaucracies could radically shrink, as even the finest-grained forms of compliance become automatic and thus invisible.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ethical considerations are equally complex. Hammond identifies two camps within the AI community: those who advocate for stringent regulation until safety can be assured, and those who favor open-source acceleration. \u201cThese schisms are reflected in the different AI camps,\u201d he notes on Substack. \u201cSome favor regulating AI development until we can assure perfect safety, perhaps through a licensing regime. Others wish to plow forward, accelerating access through open source.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hammond also sees the democratization of AI as a double-edged sword. While it has the potential to unlock new capabilities, it also comes with significant negative externalities. \u201cAs AI democratizes capabilities with significant negative externalities,\u201d he writes in \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.secondbest.ca\/p\/ai-and-leviathan-part-iii\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI and Leviathan: Part III<\/a>,\u201d \u201cit will simultaneously unlock new institutional forms for dealing with those externalities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Future is Now, and History is Our Guide<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>AI by no means the first disruptive technology to emerge since the 15th century, but navigating its transformative potential requires a nuanced understanding of its historical parallels. \u201cSoftware will eat the world,\u201d Marc Andreessen once famously said and, just like software, AI is now eating the world, Hammond posits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAnytime we\u2019ve had these technical technology shifts, it\u2019s really shifted the balance of power between nation states and society,\u201d he tells Torenberg. \u201cAnd I think this one is no different.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With this new technological frontier on the horizon, the importance of learning from history cannot be overstated. Decisions made today will undoubtedly shape tomorrow\u2019s institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Across Media &amp; Entertainment sector, the urgency of these considerations intensifies. AI has already made its mark, influencing everything from content creation to audience engagement. Yet, Hammond warns that this transformative game-changer comes with its own set of destabilizing risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moving forward, a balanced approach is essential. We must embrace the optimism that AI\u2019s capabilities bring, he says, while exercising caution informed by historical lessons. After all, in this rapidly evolving landscape, history remains our most reliable guide.<a><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">READ MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.secondbest.ca\/p\/ai-and-leviathan-part-iii\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI and Leviathan: Part I (Samuel Hammond)<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">READ MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.secondbest.ca\/p\/ai-and-leviathan-part-iii\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI and Leviathan: Part II (Samuel Hammond)<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">READ MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.secondbest.ca\/p\/ai-and-leviathan-part-iii\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI and Leviathan: Part III (Samuel Hammond)<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The disruptive force of AI could be as transformative to democratic institutions as the printing press, argues policy expert Samuel Hammond.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":60747,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_breakdance_hide_in_design_set":false,"_breakdance_tags":""},"categories":[248],"class_list":["post-146706","articles","type-articles","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-amplify"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What Do AI and the 15th-Century Printing Press Have in Common? 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