{"id":163868,"date":"2024-06-05T09:03:18","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T09:03:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amplify.nabshow.com\/?post_type=articles&#038;p=163868"},"modified":"2024-09-07T21:31:51","modified_gmt":"2024-09-07T21:31:51","slug":"ic-gen-ai-hollywood-doug-shapiro","status":"publish","type":"articles","link":"https:\/\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/articles\/ic-gen-ai-hollywood-doug-shapiro\/","title":{"rendered":"What Would Have to Happen for GenAI to Take Over Hollywood? So Glad You Asked."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns article-content is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/AI_landscape.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-163972\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hollywood\u2019s ongoing debate over the role of artificial intelligence in film production has found a thoughtful voice in media analyst Doug Shapiro. Writing extensively on AI\u2019s potential impact, Shapiro explains why AI is not yet ready for the big screen in a lengthy essay, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/dougshapiro.substack.com\/p\/fear-and-loathing-and-hype-and-reality\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fear and Loathing (and Hype and Reality) in Los Angeles<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cFor Hollywood, using GenAI models that were trained on copyrighted material is lose-lose legally: either they are infringing others\u2019 copyrights or implicitly undermining their own,\u201d he contends, naming three major obstacles preventing widespread adoption: labor relations, unresolved legal issues, and technical limitations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These challenges, Shapiro argues, will keep AI video generators from becoming a staple in Hollywood\u2019s production toolkit for the foreseeable future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d3phaj0sisr2ct.cloudfront.net\/site\/videos\/gen-3-alpha\/carousel-03\/gen-3-alpha-output-006.mp4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Runway.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-164006\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/d3phaj0sisr2ct.cloudfront.net\/site\/videos\/gen-3-alpha\/carousel-03\/gen-3-alpha-output-006.mp4\">Click here to view the full video<\/a>, created using Runway\u2019s Gen-3 Alpha.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There\u2019s no denial that GenAI holds significant promise for Hollywood, offering enticing new tools and capabilities that could provide efficiencies throughout the production chain. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These AI technologies can assist in scriptwriting, concept art, and even automating visual effects processes. The most transformative potential, however, lies in AI video generators like Sora, Veo and Runway Gen-3, that can create high-quality video content from simple text or image prompts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAI won\u2019t replace Hollywood, but the bigger risk is that it disrupts it,\u201d Shapiro cautions. \u201cDisruption requires two main ingredients: a disruptive innovation that lowers barriers to entry and incumbents who can\u2019t respond. This has both.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/deepmind.google\/api\/blob\/website\/media\/veo_example_006_northern_lights.mp4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GoogleVeo.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-164007\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/deepmind.google\/api\/blob\/website\/media\/veo_example_006_northern_lights.mp4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click here to view the full video<\/a>, created using Google DeepMind\u2019s Veo.<br><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-29d1fa547c2907472107b297763747e0\">Labor Relations: A Major Hurdle<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the potential applications of GenAI are vast, the major studios face significant hurdles that will slow widespread adoption. One of the most significant barriers is labor relations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The industry relies heavily on its talented workforce, including writers, directors, actors, and crew members, all of whom have a vested interest in how new technologies might impact their jobs. Recent labor disputes \u2014 including last year\u2019s WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes, and this year\u2019s narrowly avoided IATSE strike \u2014 have underscored the sensitivity around AI in the production process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Shapiro encapsulates the industry\u2019s trepidation: \u201cWith a bad taste still lingering from the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes last year and IATSE negotiations underway, anything AI is \u2018third rail\u2019 for the studios right now.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-807b2f3d6fc17d9e527c88ea23ca2ef1\">A Legal Quagmire<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beyond labor relations, unresolved legal issues pose a significant barrier to the widespread adoption of AI video generators in Hollywood. The primary concerns revolve around copyright infringement and intellectual property rights, creating a complex legal landscape that studios must navigate carefully.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Copyright law, particularly the concept of \u201cfair use,\u201d is central to this issue. Fair use allows for limited use of copyrighted material without permission, but its application to AI training data is unclear. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Studios face the risk of lawsuits if they use AI-generated content derived from copyrighted materials without proper licensing. This uncertainty makes it difficult for major studios to adopt AI video generators without risking legal repercussions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=tm7LcUzTgWo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Sora02.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"created by August Kamp using OpenAI Sora AI artificial intelligence GenAI\" class=\"wp-image-164030\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=tm7LcUzTgWo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click here to view the full video<\/a>, created by August Kamp using OpenAI Sora.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Examples include scenarios where AI models generate content similar to existing copyrighted works, Shapiro notes. For instance, if an AI video generator produces a scene reminiscent of a famous movie, determining whether this constitutes infringement can be highly contentious. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Studios must also consider the implications of using AI to create content that may inadvertently mimic the style or elements of copyrighted works, leading to potential IP conflicts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Additionally, there is the question of who owns the rights to content created by AI. The US Copyright Office has stated that only material produced through human creativity can be copyrighted. This means that works generated entirely by AI may not be eligible for copyright protection, leaving studios vulnerable to even further legal disputes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-86f930e4e9967f3c01922aab01708e8b\">Generative AI Goes to Film School<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the advancements in AI video generators are impressive, technical limitations prevent them from meeting the high standards required by Hollywood productions. These are significant enough, says Shapiro, to deter Hollywood studios from fully embracing generative video in the near future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cDespite the amazing quality improvements in these models, they won\u2019t meet the needs of the most demanding directors\/showrunners\/cinematographers, probably for years.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn-luma.com\/public\/lumalabs.ai\/june-12-launch-dream-machine-high-res\/assets\/dream-machine\/featured\/videos\/10.webm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jwolfepr.com\/dev\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Luma.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"created using Luma\u2019s Dream Machine\" class=\"wp-image-164169\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn-luma.com\/public\/lumalabs.ai\/june-12-launch-dream-machine-high-res\/assets\/dream-machine\/featured\/videos\/10.webm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click here to view the full video<\/a>, created using Luma\u2019s Dream Machine.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">AI video generators lack a deep understanding of complex cinematic elements such as lighting, camera movements, and the subtleties of human emotions, Shapiro points out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These tools also fall short in replicating the nuanced performances of actors, and lack an understanding of cinema history. In other words, for GenAI to be effective, it needs to go to film school.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another significant limitation is the control over the final output. Directors and cinematographers rely on precise control over every aspect of a scene, from camera angles to color grading. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Current AI models do not offer the level of fine-grained control needed to meet these exacting standards. The process of integrating AI-generated content with live-action footage also presents challenges, as seamless integration requires a level of technical sophistication that AI tools have yet to achieve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-a5bf33b1ee14394ec25eb155d02b5ed4\">The Future of GenAI in Content Creation<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking ahead, there are several potential scenarios where GenAI could become more integrated into Hollywood workflows, Shapiro says. One possible future is the gradual adoption of AI tools in pre- and post-production processes. However, the most immediate and impactful use cases for GenAI, he argues, will take place on the sidelines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe earliest adoption and most important use cases will come outside of the major Hollywood studios. These include empowering the massive creator class and independent producers.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By democratizing access to advanced production tools, he says, GenAI could pave the way for a more diverse and innovative media landscape. Independent creators, small production teams, and other sectors such as advertising, music videos, and educational content are poised to benefit from AI advancements. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These groups can leverage AI tools to produce high-quality content more efficiently and at a lower cost, breaking down barriers to entry in the industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">READ MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/dougshapiro.substack.com\/p\/fear-and-loathing-and-hype-and-reality\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fear and Loathing (and Hype and Reality) in Los Angeles (Doug Shapiro)<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"AI Video COMPARED: Runway Gen-3 vs LUMA, Haiper, Kaiber, LensGo, LTX Studio and PikaLabs\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/IhNFDXQCAfQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Labor relations, legal issues, and a lack of knowledge about filmmaking will all stall the adoption of GenAI by Hollywood, says Doug Shapiro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":167668,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_breakdance_hide_in_design_set":false,"_breakdance_tags":""},"categories":[248],"class_list":["post-163868","articles","type-articles","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-amplify"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What Would Have to Happen for GenAI to Take Over Hollywood? 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